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Causality in life course research: the potential use of ‘natural experiments’ for causal inference

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dc.contributor.author Macmillan, Ross
dc.contributor.author Hannan, Carmel
dc.date.accessioned 2020-05-15T08:58:33Z
dc.date.available 2020-05-15T08:58:33Z
dc.date.issued 2020
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10344/8819
dc.description peer-reviewed en_US
dc.description.abstract Recent decades have seen renewed attention to issues of causal inference in the social sciences, yet implications for life course research have not been spelled out nor is it clear what types of approaches are best suited for theoretical development on life course processes. We begin by evaluating a number of meta-theoretical perspectives, including critical realism, data mining and experimentation, and find them limited in their potential for causal claims in a life course context. From this, we initiate a discussion of the logic and practice of ‘natural experiments’ for life course research, highlighting issues of how to identify natural experiments, how to use cohort information and variation in the order and timing of life course transitions to isolate variation in exposure, how such events that alter social structures are the key to identification in causal processes of the life course and, finally, of analytic strategies for the extraction of causal conclusions from conventional statistical estimates. Through discussion of both positive and negative examples, we outline the key methodological issues in play and provide a road map of best practices. While we acknowledge that causal claims are not necessary for social explanation, our goal is to explain how causal inference can benefit life course scholarship and outline a set of practices that can complement conventional approaches in the pursuit of causal explanation in life course research. en_US
dc.language.iso eng en_US
dc.publisher Society for Longitudinal and Life Course Studies en_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries Longitudinal and Life Course Studies;11(1), pp. 7–25
dc.subject theory en_US
dc.subject Research Methods en_US
dc.subject causality en_US
dc.subject natural experiments en_US
dc.title Causality in life course research: the potential use of ‘natural experiments’ for causal inference en_US
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article en_US
dc.type.supercollection all_ul_research en_US
dc.type.supercollection ul_published_reviewed en_US
dc.identifier.doi 10.1332/175795919X15659210629362
dc.rights.accessrights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess en_US


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