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Contact-Based model for epidemic spreading on temporal networks

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dc.contributor.author Koher, Andreas
dc.contributor.author Lentz, Hartmut H.K.
dc.contributor.author Gleeson, James P.
dc.date.accessioned 2019-09-24T08:05:18Z
dc.date.available 2019-09-24T08:05:18Z
dc.date.issued 2019
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10344/8061
dc.description peer-reviewed en_US
dc.description.abstract We present a contact-based model to study the spreading of epidemics by means of extending the dynamic message-passing approach to temporal networks. The shift in perspective from node- to edgecentric quantities enables accurate modeling of Markovian susceptible-infected-recovered outbreaks on time-varying trees, i.e., temporal networks with a loop-free underlying topology. On arbitrary graphs, the proposed contact-based model incorporates potential structural and temporal heterogeneities of the contact network and improves analytic estimations with respect to the individual-based (node-centric) approach at a low computational and conceptual cost. Within this new framework, we derive an analytical expression for the epidemic threshold on temporal networks and demonstrate the feasibility of this method on empirical data. en_US
dc.language.iso eng en_US
dc.publisher American Physical Society en_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries Physical Review;X 9, 031017
dc.subject Complex Systems en_US
dc.subject Interdisciplinary en_US
dc.subject Physics en_US
dc.subject Nonlinear Dynamics en_US
dc.title Contact-Based model for epidemic spreading on temporal networks en_US
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article en_US
dc.type.supercollection all_ul_research en_US
dc.type.supercollection ul_published_reviewed en_US
dc.identifier.doi 10.1103/PhysRevX.9.031017
dc.rights.accessrights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess en_US


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